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Latest Financial News

RBNZ’s Breman says chances of a December rate hike are high after surprise hold at 2.75%

Breman’s comments push back against the dovish reading of Wednesday’s hold and look aimed at steadying the New Zealand dollar, which she has said could add to imported inflation if it stays weak. Pricing of around 77% leaves room for further repricing toward a December hike if incoming data cooperates, which would support the currency…

The view from China: CITIC Securities still sees a 25bp Fed hike in December

CITIC’s call reinforces the market’s December hike pricing, but its view that the terminal rate stays near current levels points to a shallow end to the cycle rather than an extended run of increases. That combination supports the dollar into December, with less upside for Treasury yields further out. On oil, the brokerage sees no…

NZ business confidence rises to +53 as pricing intentions hit highest since May

Firmer pricing intentions and inflation expectations stuck around 3.3% give the RBNZ little reason to ease off its tightening. The resilient activity readings also undercut any argument that the oil shock is crushing demand. For the New Zealand dollar, that is a modest support, though the currency’s weakness is itself feeding the services export boom.…
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Our Latest Daily Chop

Stop Getting Bond Wrong: Who Should Be the Next 007? 

Jack Lowden or Callum Turner? As the search for the next James Bond heats up, Max’s Daily Chop weighs up the leading contenders, Henry Cavill's chances and why 007 needs glamour, danger, wit and a return to classic Bond escapism. Copy excerpt
Editorial cartoon of the next James Bond casting debate featuring Jack Lowden, Callum Turner and the iconic 007 Aston Martin.

The Fuck-It Presidency: Has Donald Trump Stopped Caring About the Consequences? 

Has Donald Trump reached the point where political consequences no longer matter? Max’s Daily Chop examines Trump's second presidency, repeated controversies, family business interests, political accountability and the November 2026 midterms. Copy excerpt
Editorial cartoon of Donald Trump facing political consequences and accountability during his second presidency ahead of the 2026 US midterm elections.

The Idiot’s Guide to the US Midterms: What Exactly Are Americans Voting For? 

Donald Trump isn’t up for election, but America’s midterms could reshape his final two years in office. Max explains what Americans are voting for, how control of the House and Senate affects the president, and why the result matters for investigations, legislation and financial markets.
Editorial cartoon showing Donald Trump in the White House while Democrats and Republicans compete for control of the US Congress, with the House and Senate represented as levers controlling the brakes on his presidency.

From Minus $37 to $115: Why Oil Is the Most Fascinating Market in the World 

Oil prices have travelled from minus $37.63 a barrel in 2020 to above $110 in 2026. Max explores the extraordinary forces behind this reversal, from collapsing demand and full storage tanks to war, the Strait of Hormuz and rising fuel costs. Discover why oil is much more than a commodity—and how its price can influence inflation, interest rates, currencies, businesses and global politics.
Editorial cartoon showing an oil barrel plunging below zero on one side and soaring above $110 on the other, with a crowded storage facility, oil tankers and geopolitical tensions illustrating the dramatic swings in oil prices.
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